|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]唐志忠,刘雪静,李波,等. 京津冀区域碳排放的关键驱动因素研究[J].天津大学学报(社会科学版),2017,(6):514-519.
 Tang Zhizhong,Liu Xuejing,Li Bo,et al. Research on the KeyDriven Elements of Carbon Emissions in JingJinJi Regions[J].Journal of Tianjin University(Social Science),2017,(6):514-519.
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 京津冀区域碳排放的关键驱动因素研究()
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《天津大学学报(社会科学版)》[ISSN:1008-4339/CN:12-1290/c]

卷:
期数:
2017年6期
页码:
514-519
栏目:
社会学
出版日期:
2017-11-15

文章信息/Info

Title:
 Research on the KeyDriven Elements of Carbon Emissions in JingJinJi Regions
作者:
 唐志忠1 刘雪静1 李波1 屈小龙2
 1. 天津大学管理与经济学部, 天津 300072; 2. 天津大学仁爱学院, 天津 301636
Author(s):
 Tang Zhizhong1 Liu Xuejing1 Li Bo1 Qu Xiaolong2
 1. College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China;

2. College of Renai, Tianjin University, Tianjin 301636, China
关键词:
 京津冀区域 二氧化碳排放 驱动因素 STIRPAT模型 偏最小二乘方法
Keywords:
 JingJinJi regions CO2 emissions driven elements STIRPAT model partial least squares method
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
 基于拓展的STIRPAT模型以及1996—2015年期间的统计数据,采用偏最小二乘方法对京津冀地区的碳排放驱动因素进行了参数估计。研究发现:城市化水平、人口规模和富裕程度是京津冀区域碳排放量的主要影响因素,能源强度对两直辖市的碳排放增长有抑制效应,对河北省的碳排放抑制效应不显著;而工业水平和服务业水平对北京的碳排放增长都起到了重要作用,但对天津和河北省的影响并不突出。最后,根据研究结论,提出了相关管理与政策建议。
Abstract:
 It is of great significance to the sustainable development of Jingjinji Regions, when the research on the drivenelements of carbon emissions in Jingjinji Regions is performed and the management guiding suggestions are given. In this paper, based on the extended STIRPAT model and the statistical data from 19962015, the drivenelements of carbon emissions in Jingjinji Regions have been estimated using Partial least squares methods. The results showed that urbanization level, population size and affluence are the main influencing factors to the carbon emissions in Jingjinji Regions. With energy intensity, there exists the great inhibitory effect to the increase of carbon emissions in Beijing and Tianjin, but it is not significant to Hebei province. Industrial level and service level are two key factors to the increase of carbon emissions in Beijing, however, there are few effects in Tianjin. Industrial level is important but service level is not significant in Hebei province. Finally,according to the conclusions and the real development requirements in Jingjinji Regions, the management suggetions are proposed.

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